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Pipelines & Inland Transport

While ocean shipping handles intercontinental commodity movement, inland transport connects production sites to export terminals and import terminals to end users. The choice of inland transport mode significantly impacts costs and logistics flexibility.

Transport Modes

Mode Comparison

ModeCostSpeedFlexibilityCapacityBest For
PipelineVery lowContinuousVery lowVery highOil, gas, bulk liquids
RailLow-mediumMediumLowHighBulk solids, oil
BargeLowSlowMediumHighBulk near waterways
TruckHighFastHighLowFinal mile, flexibility

Cost Comparison

TRANSPORT COST ($/MT/100km)
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Pipeline: $0.50-2.00
Rail: $3.00-6.00
Barge: $2.00-4.00
Truck: $8.00-15.00
EXAMPLE: Move 100,000 MT crude 500km
Pipeline: $250,000-1,000,000
Rail: $1,500,000-3,000,000
Truck: $4,000,000-7,500,000
Pipeline is 4-15x cheaper than truck!

Pipeline Systems

Types of Pipelines

TypeCommodityDiameterExample
Crude oilHeavy/light crude20-48 inchesColonial, Druzhba
ProductsGasoline, diesel, jet8-24 inchesColonial, CEPS
Natural gasGas24-48 inchesNordstream, TAPI
NGL/LPGPropane, butane8-16 inchesONEOK, Enterprise

Major Pipeline Systems

MAJOR GLOBAL PIPELINES
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CRUDE OIL:
├── Druzhba (Russia → Europe): 2M bpd
├── ESPO (Russia → Asia): 1.6M bpd
├── Keystone (Canada → US): 700K bpd
├── Caspian Pipeline (Kazakhstan → Black Sea): 1.4M bpd
└── Trans-Alaska (Prudhoe → Valdez): 500K bpd
PRODUCTS:
├── Colonial (USGC → Northeast): 2.5M bpd
├── Explorer (USGC → Midwest): 700K bpd
└── CEPS (Central Europe): 500K bpd
NATURAL GAS:
├── Nord Stream (Russia → Germany): 55 bcm/yr
├── South Stream/TurkStream: 31.5 bcm/yr
└── Trans-Saharan (proposed): 30 bcm/yr

Pipeline Tariffs

PIPELINE TARIFF STRUCTURE
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COMPONENTS:
1. Volume tariff: $/bbl or $/mcf
- Based on distance
- Published schedule
2. Quality bank: Adjustment for specs
- Premium for lighter crude
- Penalty for heavier crude
3. Scheduling fee: Administrative
- Monthly nomination
- Imbalance penalties
EXAMPLE (Colonial Pipeline):
Tariff: $0.50/bbl (Houston → New York)
Quality bank: -$0.05/bbl (for specific grade)
─────────────────────────────────────────
Net cost: $0.45/bbl
Compare to: Tanker voyage ~$2.00/bbl
Pipeline advantage: $1.55/bbl

Pipeline Access

PIPELINE CAPACITY ALLOCATION
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TYPICAL RULES:
1. PRORATIONING
- If nominations > capacity
- Allocate proportionally to history
2. SHIPPER MINIMUM
- Must ship minimum volume
- Or lose allocation
3. NEW SHIPPER
- Limited initial allocation
- Builds over time
STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS:
- Historical shippers have advantage
- Entry requires patience/investment
- Pipeline ownership = guaranteed access

Rail Transport

Rail Freight Characteristics

FactorDetails
Unit train100+ cars, dedicated route, lowest cost
ManifestMixed cars, multiple stops, higher cost
Car typesTank (oil), hopper (grain), gondola (coal)
Speed200-400 miles/day average

Rail vs Pipeline for Oil

RAIL VS PIPELINE (North America)
────────────────────────────────
SCENARIO: Bakken crude to Gulf Coast
PIPELINE (if available):
Tariff: $8-10/bbl
Transit time: 2-3 weeks
Capacity: Constrained
RAIL:
Cost: $12-18/bbl
Transit time: 1-2 weeks
Capacity: Flexible
WHEN RAIL WINS:
1. Pipeline full/unavailable
2. Multiple destinations needed
3. Urgent delivery
4. New production without pipeline
2019 Peak: 1M bpd crude by rail in US

Grain Rail Economics

GRAIN RAIL TRANSPORT
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UNIT TRAIN (100 cars):
Capacity: 11,000 MT
Cost: ~$4,000/car
Total: $400,000 for unit train
Per MT: $36/MT (Kansas → Gulf)
Distance: ~1,000 miles
SHUTTLE SERVICE:
Dedicated fleet
Pre-scheduled
Lower cost: $30-32/MT
SINGLE CAR:
Higher cost: $45-50/MT
Only for small volumes

Barge Transport

Barge Systems

SystemCommoditiesRoute Length
Mississippi RiverGrain, coal, petroleum2,000+ miles
Rhine RiverOil products, chemicals800+ miles
Volga RiverGrain, oil2,000+ miles
Danube RiverGrains, minerals1,800+ miles

Barge Economics

MISSISSIPPI BARGE ECONOMICS
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GRAIN: St. Louis → New Orleans
COVERED HOPPER BARGE:
Capacity: 1,500 MT
Cost: ~$12,000 per barge
Per MT: $8.00/MT
TOWING (15 barges):
22,500 MT per tow
Tow cost: $50,000
Per MT: $2.22/MT
TOTAL: ~$10.22/MT
Distance: ~700 miles
COMPARE TO RAIL: ~$20-25/MT
BARGE ADVANTAGE: 50-60% cheaper

Seasonal Factors

BARGE SEASONALITY
─────────────────
MISSISSIPPI RIVER:
Spring (Mar-May):
- High water from snowmelt
- Some flooding risk
- Normal operations
Summer (Jun-Aug):
- Low water possible
- Draft restrictions
- Higher costs
Fall (Sep-Nov):
- Harvest surge
- Peak demand
- Higher rates
Winter (Dec-Feb):
- Ice possible (upper river)
- Lock closures
- Reduced capacity
TRADING IMPACT:
Factor seasonal costs into grain basis
Harvest logistics = price pressure

Trucking

When Trucking Makes Sense

SituationRationale
Final mileNo other mode reaches destination
Small volumesBelow rail/barge minimums
UrgencyFastest delivery
FlexibilityMultiple pickups/deliveries
Short distanceUnder 200 miles

Trucking Costs

TRUCKING ECONOMICS
──────────────────
FUEL TANKER:
Capacity: 8,000 gallons (~190 bbl)
Cost: $3-5/mile (loaded)
EXAMPLE: 100 mile delivery
Cost: $400
Per bbl: $2.10/bbl
BULK TRUCK (Grain):
Capacity: 25 MT
Cost: $2.50/mile
EXAMPLE: 50 mile to elevator
Cost: $125
Per MT: $5.00/MT
BREAK-EVEN VS RAIL:
Rail minimum: ~100 cars
If < 100 cars: Truck may be cheaper
If > 100 cars: Rail wins

Multimodal Logistics

Optimizing Mode Mix

MULTIMODAL OPTIMIZATION
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SCENARIO: Copper concentrate from mine to port
OPTION A: Truck only
Mine → Port (300 km)
Cost: $45/MT
OPTION B: Truck + Rail
Mine → Rail terminal (50 km): Truck $8/MT
Rail terminal → Port (250 km): Rail $12/MT
Total: $20/MT
Savings: $25/MT ✓
OPTION C: Slurry pipeline
Mine → Port (300 km): Pipeline $5/MT
Capital cost: High
Best for: Large, long-term operations

Logistics Hubs

INLAND HUB EXAMPLE: US Midwest
───────────────────────────────
CHICAGO HUB:
├── Rail: 6 Class I railroads converge
├── Barge: Access to Mississippi system
├── Pipeline: Crude, products, gas
├── Truck: Interstate highway network
└── Storage: Significant tank/silo capacity
FUNCTION:
- Consolidation point
- Mode transfer
- Storage/blending
- Market making
VALUE:
Hub position = trading advantage
Multiple transport options = flexibility

Infrastructure Bottlenecks

Common Constraints

ConstraintImpactExample
Pipeline capacityPrice discount at originPermian Basin spread
Rail congestionDelays, higher costsHarvest season grain
Lock delaysBarge transit timeUpper Mississippi
Port capacityDemurrage, queuingSantos during harvest

Permian Basin Example

PERMIAN INFRASTRUCTURE CONSTRAINT
─────────────────────────────────
SITUATION (2018-2019):
Production: 4M+ bpd
Pipeline capacity: 3.5M bpd
Gap: 500K+ bpd
RESULT:
Midland (Permian) price: WTI - $15/bbl
Cushing (Oklahoma) price: WTI flat
Houston price: WTI + $2/bbl
ARBITRAGE:
Buy Midland: $50/bbl
Truck/rail to Houston: $12/bbl
Sell Houston: $67/bbl
Margin: $5/bbl
But: Limited truck/rail capacity
Result: Spread persisted until pipelines built

Key Takeaways

  1. Mode choice impacts economics — Pipeline < barge < rail < truck
  2. Pipeline access is strategic — Historical rights matter
  3. Seasonal factors affect barges — Water levels, ice, harvest
  4. Multimodal optimization creates value — Combine modes smartly
  5. Bottlenecks create spreads — Infrastructure constraints = opportunity
  6. Flexibility has value — Truck/rail offer options

References

  • Association of American Railroads
  • American Waterways Operators
  • Inland Waterways Users Board
  • FERC Pipeline Tariffs
  • EIA Petroleum Transportation